Hindalco Shares Crash 7% After Constellium’s Earnings Shock – What’s Next?

The share price of Hindalco Industries, which has been declining since Monday, fell more than 7% on Thursday due to selling pressure. Before reversing part of its losses, the stock fell as much as 7.1% to a low of Rs 666.80, having opened at Rs 716.95, marginally lower than its previous close of Rs 717.45. At around 12:38 a.m., Hindalco Industries’ stock was down 4.73%, trading at Rs 683.50.

What led to Hindalco’s share price fall?

On October 24, 2024, the share price of Hindalco Industries, a significant participant in the aluminum market, fell by a steep 7%. The poor earnings announcement from Paris-based Constellium, a major producer of aluminum products, was the immediate cause of this decrease. Let’s examine this event’s specifics and what it means for Hindalco’s investors.

Hindalco Shares Crash 7% After Constellium’s Earnings Shock – What’s Next?

Hindalco Q2 Results Expected

Analysts anticipate that the company’s September quarter financial results will be a mixed bag. Hindalco is expected to report a profit of ₹1,290 crore, according to Antique Stock Broking. This would be a significant increase of 59% year-over-year (YoY) but a decrease of 12% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ).

“Standalone revenue is expected to fall 8.1% QoQ due to successively lower copper and aluminum prices, but remain mostly stable YoY. Thanks to better operations and lower input commodity costs, EBITDA would increase 39.1% year over year to ₹2,450 crore, according to Antique.

Motilal Oswal Financial Services, a brokerage firm, anticipates a 45.4% YoY increase in adjusted PAT and a 5.1% YoY increase in net revenues. However, PAT may drop 7.6% and sales may drop 0.10 percent on a QoQ basis.

According to CNBC TV-18, Hindalco’s subsidiary Novellis, which accounts for a larger percentage of the company’s EBITDA and 20% of its volumes, is negatively impacted by the demand outlook weakening in the automotive market.

Hindalco declared a consolidated net profit of Rs 3,074 crore for the quarter that ended on June 30, 2024. This represents a 25% increase over the Rs 2,454 crore the firm reported for the same time last year.

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